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MSNBC
Oct 9, 2012 6:00am PDT
pew poll propels mitt romney. >>> kentucky derby, all eyes turn to the bluegrass state. how much pressure faces paul ryan. and this morning, former penn state football coach jerry sandusky finds out if he'll spend the rest of his life in prison on 45 counts of child sex abuse, he already put out a taped statement denying it all. we'll have the latest from the courthouse as soon as it happens. it is happening within minutes there in pennsylvania. >>> good morning from washington, it's four weeks until election day, tuesday, october 10. will romney serve in national polling translate into gains where it really matters t battleground states, the mimpb battleground states of iowa, wisconsin and ohio. romney will not be president unless he can put these states in play. in a new pew poll conducted since wednesday. just last month in the same poll, romney trailed by eight points. driving romney surge, a spike in republican enthusiasm, more republicans made it through pew's likely voter screen than democrats. and a larger group of registered voters, the candidates are tied at 46. while i
MSNBC
Oct 15, 2012 2:00am PDT
obama and mitt romney meet for the second of three debates, brand-new poll numbers show the candidates locked in a virtual dead heat. according to a new "washington post" abc news poll of likely voters, 49% favor president obama compared to 46% who back governor romney. those numbers are basically where they were two weeks ago and within the polls' margin of error. however that doesn't mean mitt romney didn't get a big boost from his win. republicans' enthusiasm for their candidate has soared to 59% now, including an 11-point gain in just the past two weeks. both the romney and obama campaigns are expressing concern about the moderator of tuesday's second presidential debate. candy crowley of cnn will be hosting the debate, and she suggested that she'll play a larger role than agreed to by the candidates. according to mark hallpren of ""time" magazine" the two campaigns have raised objection saying the moderator's participation should be much more limited than she's leading people to believe. crowley has suggested she'll ask follow-up questions, which is not part of the agre
MSNBC
Oct 8, 2012 6:00pm PDT
mitt romney's favor. in the new national poll out from the pew research center, governor romney is now tied with the president. romney trailed in this survey by 9 points before the debate. so that's a big shift toward mitt romney and away from barack obama in that poll. like wise in the new gallup poll, mr. romney polled even with the president after the debate erasing a 5-point advantage for the president. we have new polls from the swing states and near swing states. polls that include reaction to the first debate. in wisconsin today the president leads by just two points. that's according to a relatively left-leaning poll. that particular poll previously showed the president having a 7-point lead before the debate. in colorado, in one right-leaning poll romney is now up by 3 points. the same showed him losing by 5 before the debate. now he's up by 3. in virginia, the president is ahead by 3 in virginia. that same poll had the president's lead at 5 points before the debate. that shows the president's lead shrinking. in michigan, it's now barack obama by just 3 points. the president h
MSNBC
Oct 9, 2012 2:30am PDT
a month ago, the president had an 18-point lead in this poll among women voters. today mr. romney rallies voters in iowa a day after delivering what his campaign called a major foreign policy address. speaking to an audience of cadets at the virginia military institute, romney hit on a wide range of hot button issues in the muslim world from the war in syria and the obama administration shifting response to the deadly attack on the nebs b -- the embassy in benghazi. republican candidate suggesting he would take a harder line to make sure that tehran does not get a nuclear weapon. >> i'll put the leaders of iran on notice that the united states and our friends and allies will prevent them from acquiring nuclear weapons capability. i'll not hesitate to impose new sanctions on iran and will tighten the sanctions we currently have. i'll restore the permanent presence of air cast carrier task forces in the eastern mediterranean and the gulf. i'll work with israel to increase our military assistance and coordination for the sake of peace we must make clear to iran through actions, not j
MSNBC
Oct 8, 2012 2:00pm PDT
wednesday's debate. this afternoon pew released a poll that showed a dramatic shift toward romney. this poll covers the four days sibts the debate and it has romney pulling even with president obama among registered voters, 46% even. four weeks ago pew had obama up by nine among registered voters, so this has been a huge shift in the pew poll. the move in the pew poll towards romney is greater among likely voters. romney is surging ahead to 49%. four weeks ago obama led among likely voters by eight. now to the latest gallup tracking poll which covers the last seven days. gallup has president obama back in the lead at 50 to 45. what a difference from the other polyp that's exactly where the race stood before the debate. romney had surged in the tracking poll. the two candidates were actually tied in the three days immediately after the debate, but the president seems to have wiped out romney's gains in the gallup poll. joining me right now are howard fineman, editorial director of the "huffington post," and the honorable michael nutter, mayor of philadelphia and presidential surrogate in
MSNBC
Oct 9, 2012 9:00pm PDT
voters by four points in the pew poll. in the swing states, mr. romney leading in colorado by 4. mr. obama leading in pennsylvania by 2, the right poll showing a tie in nevada. the president up in new hampshire by 6 points. and really the one poll we waited on all day, the one poll that might matter more than any other single piece of data, the one piece we got today, president obama holding on to a 4-point lead in ohio. let's poll this one out. this is a cnn number from this afternoon. barack obama with an edge of 4 points in ohio, which is just outside the margin of error. it's a four-point lead, but far less than the nine and ten-point leads he held in this survey not long ago. i should say to democrats and obama supporters, i'm sorry if i unleashed those numbers on you with a mature content warning label. but my friend e.j. dionne will be with us later on this hour today. he says, i was talking with an old friend who was one of the nonpartisan polling outfits. we were discussing the large shifts in some of the polls on the presidential election and the feedback he receives whene
MSNBC
Oct 9, 2012 7:00pm PDT
windfall of new polling. >> we're seeing polls all over the place. >> mitt romney got a debate bounce. >> we cannot turn back now. >> the narrative about who's up, who's down in this race for the white house. >> it's a race that is anything but settled. >> there will be plenty of ups and downs over the next 28 days. >> just 28 days until election. >> are you in? are you ready for this? 28 days. are you with me? >>> tonight with 28 days until the presidential election, the head of the evolution-denying party got this question about evolution. >> that 47% comment that you made that's caused you a lot of grieve as you know. there's been a change in wrur position. you were initially saying when that tape came out that you weren't exactly elegantly stating your position. later and more recently you said you were completely wrong. i'm curious, governor, how did that evolution in your thinking go on from the initial reaction once that tape came out to what you said the other day that you were completely wrong? >> well, what i'm saying is that -- the words that came out were not what i
MSNBC
Oct 10, 2012 2:30am PDT
week. in new hampshire meanwhile, a new poll shows in the last nine days, romney has whittled the president's 15 point lead down to six points. and a new real clear politics average of all the national polls has romney edging ahead of president obama for the first time this year. south of cleveland last night, meanwhile, an estimated 12,000 people showed up in the cold to support romney who was introduced by fired up governor of new jersey, mr. chris christie. >> a few weeks ago, i watched the democratic national convention, i did it as a sacrifice and service to my country. i sat on my couch in my living room, i made my 12-year-old son patrick bring me a big bottle of water because when i hear that much b.s., i get lightheaded. i want to help the president i'm sure because he loves me. i'm sure he's out there listening. mr. president, you have lived inside 1600 pennsylvania avenue for four years. if you can't change washington from inside the white house, then let's get you the plane ticket back to chicago you've earned. >> romney who is holding three more campaign events today i
MSNBC
Oct 7, 2012 9:00am PDT
, here is the gallop daily tracking poll, mitt romney closing the gap on president obama, who still leads by three points, 49-46, and taking to the tv air waves, the romney camp claiming the president's plan will increase taxes, here is the new ad. >> president obama continues to distort mitt romney's economic plan. the latest? not telling the truth about mitt romney's plan, it doesn't add up, abc news, mostly fiction, even the obama campaign admitted it was not true. >> okay, stipulatelated. it won't be near 5 trillion. >> obama's plan? $4,000 more in taxes on the middle class, we can't afford four more years. >>> from the obama campaign, an ad targeting mitt romney's plan, and calling it just an act. >> why was romney so dishonest about his plan? the massive new tax cut for millionaires means higher tax cuts for the middle class, and aarp says romney's plan undermines medicare by turning it into a voucher. we have real challenges to meet. children to educate, a class to rebuild. >> one more note within this past hour, the president left on a two-day campaign swing through californ
MSNBC
Oct 11, 2012 5:00pm PDT
. >> the poll numbers for romney and ryan soaring after the first presidential debate. democrats openly counting on joe biden tonight to stop that republican momentum. >> osama bin laden is dead and general motors is arrive. >> the 2012 vice presidential debate starts right now. >>> happy debate night, everybody. the best television series of 2011 was the republican primary debates. there were 1 million of them. they played to huge audiences week after week and never disappointed. now it is october 2012 and the most compelling thing on television anywhere in the country is once again the debates. only now there are only two candidates at a time and the stakes are way higher. i'm rachel maddow. here on our msnbc headquarters in new york. i'm joined by ed schultz, reverend al sharpton, chris hayes, steve schmidt. lawrence o'donnell is our man in the spin room tonight. the one and only chris matthews is at centre college in danville, kentucky, the site of tonight's debate. chris, is this unusually high stakes for a vice presidential debate? >> well, it's great being with you, again, rachel
MSNBC
Oct 8, 2012 12:00pm PDT
have a poll coming out tomorrow that puts romney ahead. i got no idea. you tell us, where does this race stand right now? >> it's a little complicated, but keep in mind how the trackers work. when they add a new day of interviews, they drop the oldest day. when you see obama gaining now, that means that obama's interviews yesterday were even better than those from seven days ago, conducted before the debate. similarly when you look at the three-day approval number and you see that it's gone up, that means that obama's interviews yesterday were much better than the ones conducted three days ago, which was immediately after the debate. i think what the gallup numbers tell us is romney had a really good couple of days after the debate, but since then their numbers show obama doing better. it's too early to tell whether that's noise or not but consistent with data we see. it's consistent with the poll that shows romney doing well over a long early time period that includes the days after the debate went well. it's consistent with state numbers that show bahama doing pretty well in the l
MSNBC
Oct 15, 2012 3:00am PDT
margin of error in this national poll. you've got president obama at 49%. mitt romney's at 46%. and the poll finds a majority of americans now approve of the way that the president's handling his job. over 51% while 42% believe the country's heading in the right direction, up from 13% two weeks ago. however, when they're asked about the candidates and whether their opinion of the candidates changed after the first debate, 19% say they view the president more negatively. 37% say they have a better view of mitt romney. there's also a new politico/george washington university poll out of ten battleground states including ohio, florida and virginia which shows mitt romney ahead in the swing states 50%-48%. that's a statistical tie. there's also a new public policy poll of likely voters in the state that may matter the most this year, ohio, that actually has the president up by 5 percentage points. a lot to digest here. let's start, though, with john heilemann. john, it certainly looks like it's still a jump ball as we go through the second debate. mitt romney and barack obama really nec
MSNBC
Oct 10, 2012 9:00pm PDT
what mitt romney said, taking a more moderate position on abortion. first you had this poll that came out in ohio, showing obama ahead of romney by four. the gender gap in this thing was astounding. among men, romney had a 16-point lead in ohio. among women, 60-38, obama. that is like a 38-point gender gap. i have not seen something that big. we have conflicting data on this. at the national level, a lot of these national horse race polls are showing the gender gap disappearing here. so maybe it indicates that in the battleground states, you know, where they're exposed to the campaign's messages a lot more aggressively, maybe the campaign is playing it a little differently in those states. there's a poll of swing-state voters from bloomberg that was conducted last week that identified a very specific group of voters, married women. and it said on the economy, they were actually basically siding with romney. they were basically willing to give up on obama, say it's failed, and think that romney's competent. where they were having reservations, and why romney was not having the kin
MSNBC
Oct 11, 2012 1:00pm PDT
great campaign? ♪ everything's coming up romney the latest polls have romney neck and neck with obama. folks, this race is as tight as mitt's smile when he meets a poor person. oh no, not a migraine now. try this... bayer? this isn't just a headache. trust me, this is new bayer migraine. [ male announcer ] it's the power of aspirin plus more in a triple action formula to relieve your tough migraines. new bayer migraine formula. >>> it's the thursday ahead of the vp debate, and it's time to play of what is the romney/ryan position on abortion? it would be hilarious if there wasn't so much at stake. a day after mitt romney told the des moines register that he would not pursue any abortion-related legislation as president, he told reporters in ohio that he would, in fact, take direct aim at women's health care choices and access. >> i think i said time and again i'm a pro-life candidate, i'll be a pro-life president. the actions i'll take immediately are to remove funding for planned parenthood. >> for the president, it was a chance to cast doubt on his rival's new halloween mask o
MSNBC
Oct 9, 2012 1:00pm PDT
really high in the romney camp, things looking great on the polling front. he had a great debate but we have another politico story about inner turmoil and they say the family has risen up in rebellion against the professions. the romney family says it's silly and it's not a story but it does sound as though there's some substance to this because romney has been appearing in a much more soft and kind of by graphical manner on the stump. >> he is. and his debate performance, he moved his language to the center. i would say it's actually quite common for there to be conflict between the candidate's family and the spouse. >> you know that yourself. >> the spouse is always very protective of the candidate, wants them to be portrayed in the best light and i think ann romney if what's being reported is true, has a point. mitt romney is a poor candidate, but he's run an even worse campaign, and the fact that it's taken him this long to even make an attempt to rhetorically shift to the center is quite remarkable that he's been afraid of the base for this long and hoping to run just on anti-o
MSNBC
Oct 9, 2012 12:00pm PDT
to be seen they will confirm romney has the lead in all polls. it seems the average of all polls all year has obama aahead. the media coverage has been skrush constructed around obama as the winner. if romney takes the lead consistently, is that the danger for obama? the media narrative changes and he's coming from behind? >> that's true. it's a pretty big if. the poll of polls is much more reliable than individual polls, because they can be all over the lot. i do think there is definitely the risk of media overreaction just as we overreacted to the sense it was curtains for romney before. i suspect there will be some of the overreaction now. now that they brought out big bird, i think that really will change the trajectory here. >> game changer. you know who i miss from the republican primary? >> who do you miss? >> newt gingrich. not enough nut ewt in this campaign. let's take a look. >> he said, i will close enough deductions that wealthy americans will not get a net tax cut. now, that's a pretty clear subscription. >> and it's impossible to -- >> let me say this. standing on
MSNBC
Oct 9, 2012 3:00pm PDT
on personal traits president obama still leads romney, even in polls relief after the debay. president obama leads 44 to 39. on who takes a more moderate position? obama leads 49 to 39. on who connects with ordinary americans, 59 to 39. how does mitt romney turn his numbers around? >> apparently by being mitt. listen, i have a lot of simply and my heart goes on the to the -- it's hard to watch someone be different on the campaign trail. when my father was running for senate six years ago, they sat undouse and told us to sit down and mind our own business and your job is just to be a listening ear, not to get the candidate all twisted about poll numbers, but they know they don't reflect the person that they know well. i think at this point, though the reason we're seeing this is this would not have leaked if someone didn't want it out there is this is starting to become a blame game. they're deciding whether or not this will get tagged on the consultants who have been there since the very beginning, the staff since the beginning, or if they can say, listen the family interven
MSNBC
Oct 11, 2012 8:00am PDT
leaning towards romney. what do you make of that? >> i don't talk about other polls, but we're still polling in the states that we had planned on polling all along and virginia and florida are those states. >> and you'll keep on going. >> we expect to keep on going, yes. >> peter brown, thank you so much for joining us today. >>> may the force be with you. time now for the polysci war. here's what he told the young turks. he's very wise, he has sort of a process between ob-wan and yoda. i have to go with the sir alec guinness character. we've seen a bunch of big birds showing up at mitt romney campaign events since the character was brought up at last week's presidential debate. you'll probably be seeing more of themes specially on halloween. a popular costume. this sassy big bird costume is a top seller this year. costume craze saw a 500% increase in sales after the debate. their original big bird costume was already sold out. just dial this toll free number for information about the deadly meningitis outbreak or for a good time evidently. rick scott accidently promoted an adult sex
MSNBC
Oct 8, 2012 2:00am PDT
francisco today with romney's poll numbers improving. >> they're looking very good. i feel very good. >> reporter: after the debate, romney is within two points of the president. and tomorrow, both candidates head to ohio, battleground ohio, where early voting is already under way. tomorrow is the last day to register to vote there. veronica? >> thank you. mitt romney will deliver that major policy speech before noon eastern, but the obama campaign is issuing a preemptive strike with this new tv ad criticizing the republican candidate's past foreign policy faux pas. take a look. >> reckless. amateurish. that's what news media and fellow republicans called mitt romney's gaffe-filled july tour of england, israel, and poland, when our u.s. diplomats were attacked in libya, "the new york times" said romney's response showed an extraordinary lack of presidential character. >> the obama campaign said this will be romney's seventh speech on foreign policy. >>> venezuelan president hugo chavez gets to keep his job for another seven years, but his re-election came in the slimmest margin ever
MSNBC
Oct 15, 2012 11:00am PDT
"/abc news poll that had president obama up 49% to 46% over mitt romney among likely voters. there was a george washington poll that had closer, 49% for president obama and 48% for mitt romney among likely voters. that's the situation into the second presidential debate, the town hall format in hofstra in new york. >> the daily gallup tracking poll shows likely voter, obama 48% and romney 46%. i think it was friday, mark, you and i were talking about or thursday the numbers and polling. for analysts like yourself is where you expected the race to be at this time? >> right. in fact, we actually expected the race to be before we saw president obama with that very big surge he had after the democrat democrat democratic convention and after weeks of focus on the 47% remark. we came back to where we were at the very end of august right before the political conventions all kicked off. almost promising a very tight race, similar perhaps to 2004 between john kerry and george w. bush and even 2000 that close contest between george w. bush and al gore. >> we're going to talk later regarding
MSNBC
Oct 10, 2012 11:00pm PDT
tracking poll shows obama leading romney 50/45, but among likely voters they're tied 48%. net two-point game for obama since yesterday. if romney and republicans are in charge here's a few things for men and women to be aware of. number one, expect a war on planned parenthood, romney in an interview with a local missouri reporter back in march. >> my test is simple. is the program so critical it's worth borrowing money from china to pay for it? on that basis you get rid of obama care. that's the first one. there are others, planned parenthood, we'll get rid of that. >> okay. there he is, romney chose a vp, by the way, paul ryan, who co-sponsored a, quote, personhood bill. with congressman todd akin aboard. that personhood bill basically guarantees if not the criminalization of abortion, something close to it. the republican platform is out of date. it calls for a human life amendment to the constitution to, quote, make clear the 14th amendment's protections apply to unborn children. unborn children at the age of a couple seconds have the right to property. romney has a right to su
MSNBC
Oct 11, 2012 12:00pm PDT
battleground polls are out telling us whether mitt romney's comments ruffled any feathers among voters. according to our latest nbc poll obama holds a one point lead. ohio the gap is down to six. in virginia it's slipped for one to obama and up one for romney. the president is still ahead but nationally mitt romney has actually taken the lead. ten days ago obama head a four point lead in that average. today mitt romney leads by more than a point. but when you look at just the swing states, president obama is leading almost every one of them albeit by a reduced margin. these are numbers just from the last states. let's put them through the spin cycle. guys, all of this raises an interesting possibility that i have resisted and that political science tells us shouldn't be happening. political science says generally speaking if there's movement nationally, there will be similar movement in the swing states. if there's movement in swing states will be mirrored in other states. mitt romney has not pulled ahead in swing states. look at a state like ohio, virginia, iowa, new hampshire,
MSNBC
Oct 15, 2012 7:00am PDT
our side. >> a new poll has the president up by five although romney has been gaining. what's at stake for him in this debate, perry? >> i disagree. you've seen three polls. nbc had one last week, cbs had one last week. the race is getting closer. the president has an advantage in ohio and every survey that i've seen, two, three points, etc. that's really important. no republican has won the campaign without winning ohio before and as long as obama has an advantage there, that's really important and could make the difference on election day. >> let me bring in senator john borasso, republican from wyoming. good to have you here in new york. >> thank you, chris. >> so we saw how quickly things could change as the result of one debate. mitt romney's numbers are up. his likability is up which is something that he lagged far behind the president on. could it switch back just as quickly? >> well, tomorrow's debate i think is going to be even a larger audience watching because of how poorly the president performed in the first debate and how well mitt romney did. there's going to be a
MSNBC
Oct 14, 2012 12:00pm PDT
wife ann did find some time to go to church this morning. governor romney has gained in the polls since that first debate. how will he try to build on that success? peter alexander has been covering the romney campaign, joins me live now from washington, d.c. pete, governor romney got to be a bit more confident going into this second debate. the format is a bit different though. a town hall formal. how is he preparing differently? >> it's a good question. we were traveling into boston from ohio with the campaign yesterday. this is about as loose and as confident as we have seen mitt romney throughout the entire cou course of this campaign. there's a sense the crowds are appreciating what he's saying, having witnessed what he did in that first debate with president obama. he faces unique challenges in this next debate on tuesday night outside of new york city at hofstra university. specifically, he will have to speak directly to the voters in the room with them, just a total of 80 voters. while he's done a lot of town halls, the campaign says he has practice at this, he hasn't had
MSNBC
Oct 10, 2012 9:00am PDT
the same poll has romney trailing by 16 points, 52/36. a week ago before the debate the same number and poll that had warren ahead by four had romney losing by 28 in massachusetts. i've always been saying you think back to weld/kerry the '96 senate race, as a model, weld outperformed bob dole by 26 points that year. it wasn't quite enough because dole lost the state by 33. i've been saying the measurement in massachusetts if romney loses by 30 or more, warren is your next senator, 25 to 30 a toss up, less than 25, brown's going to win. and that's -- a week ago in the 25 to 30 range, now it's back down. >> that's almost a nate sill veer yan set of data points. luke, the other race -- there are many races an we're not going to get to all of them in this segment but todd akin when you talk about republicans going to and fro in their support fiscally and ideological todd akin is still giving claire mcka cas kill a run for her money. her camp says she's up nine points, the akin camp claims he's up two, dueling polls, but needless to say todd akin is still in this thing. you mentioned the
MSNBC
Oct 8, 2012 3:00pm PDT
. meanwhile, a new pew research poll shows romney leading by 4 points. this race is tightening. things are moving, gist like mitt romney. suddenly he loves covering people with pre-existing conditions and suddenly mr. romney is ignoring the fact that his tax plan is a give away to the rich. the only problem, that's not the mr. romney who's running for president and this weekend newt gingrich, one of his top surrogates let the cat out of the bag. >> standing on the stage with you in arizona, this is what mitt romney said. number one, i said today we're going to cut taxes on everyone across the country by 20%, including the top 1%. mr. speaker, you mentioned that your opponent, mitt romney, had a problem with being dishonest and the primary of my question is, was he dishonest when he said that? >> i think it's clear he changed. >> clearly he's changed. another romney surrogate even admitted it. >> that's all you're seeing here. it's very typical. we we strong conservatives understand that. it's campaign strategy. >> it's typical. just campaign strategy. that's all you're seeing h
MSNBC
Oct 11, 2012 9:00am PDT
favorables were not higher or there wasn't more of a change. the nbc news/marist poll october 3rd, romney, 42%, unfavorables 51%. now favorables are 44%, unfavorables 50%. that's within margin of error. effective i will no change, was surprising given the debate performance. >> the data are very clear, national data and individual state level data that we're seeing. and there has been movement. the race has changed and it is much more competitive than it was ten days ago, much more competitive. now the movement in ohio, the romney movement has been weaker than it was nationally or in places like virginia, florida, or colorado. and i think part of that is the obama campaign did a very good job early on airing ads early, focusing on ohio and delivering a message and defining mitt romney. they did not do that as well in the other states and frankly some of the other states have a more fundamental republican bend. it's true, the early obama ads about romney defining him, his wealth, i think it worked. the romney folks have a longer way to go. i should point out, alex, that it is possible, i m
MSNBC
Oct 10, 2012 12:00am PDT
last week's debate. the real clear politics average of all polls show mitt romney taking a .7% lead on president obama. the race was this tight a month ago. right after the republican national convention and right before the democratic national convention. we have been here before. the race has followed this pattern for awhile. when mitt romney makes gain, the polls tend to show the candidates tied. but if you listen to right-wingers like ann colter, this race is already over. >> i think it is over. the reason i think it's over, of course, i thought it was over last week and the week before. romney is going to win. the reason he's going to win is this was the most-watched debate since 1980 when ronald reagan ran against carter and there was only one debate that year. >> fox news is pulling out all the stops. check out the electoral prediction map fox trotted out today. look at the red states. they gave mitt romney solid democratic states like new mexico and pennsylvania. really? polls should be a snapshot of the current state of the race and there's no doubt mitt romney is benefitti
MSNBC
Oct 9, 2012 10:00am PDT
that mitt romney is the guy who is kind of the energy and enthusiasm candidate. i think some polls will come out in places like ohio, virginia, north carolina, florida, hopefully some independent polls in the next few days that i think will get the measure of how much bounce mitt romney got. if those polls suggest him really closing the margin in those states then i think the romney campaign is really on to something. national polling is great and they're happy to have it, but really the problem they have had in the last six weeks, two months, is electoral vote in the swing states. they need those numbers to move. >> and we are going to have our nbc news/"wall street journal"/marist polls in florida, ohio, and virginia coming out first thing thursday morning. mark you're in chicago, which tells me you've probably been doing a lot of reporting. what are they saying at the obama headquarters? >> well, andrea, i came straight here from the headquarters where i sat down with some of the top officials on the campaign and talked through where we are today. and i want to state this carefu
MSNBC
Oct 8, 2012 5:00pm PDT
. now that it romney's post debate bounce is fading, we'll probably hear it again. the latest poll shows obama's lead widening to 5 points again. the president was shoring up the vote. he dedicated a moment to cesar chavez. >> where there had once been despair, cesar gave workers a reason to hope. it's people. more than higher wages or better working conditions. that was cesar's gift to us. a reminder that we are all god's children. >> president obama dedicating a monument to cesar chavez. let's bring in ari melber. great to have you with us tonight. president obama is not taking his lead or his strength from the hispanic community. he wants more. play i playing to his base, how smart a strategy is it? >> i think it's smart and i think what the president has to do right now is get out there and get into the fight. i think people want to see him talking to voters, talking about the unemployment numbers, which as you pointed out, are improving. still tough out there, but the best in four years. and i think that's the thing about the debates. they happen, but on the ground, that's not
MSNBC
Oct 12, 2012 2:00am PDT
. life. with a twist. ♪ >>> the new poll found that only 47% of voters find mitt romney to be trustworthy. then rom neez was like i hope it's not the same 47% i don't care about. that would be a bummer. >> tonight, jimmy welcomes selma high yak. that's "late night with jimmy fallon" on your local nbc station. let's go to entertainment news. here is what you can expect. ben affleck stars in "argo" about an iran hostage crisis. the family comedy, "here comes the boom" stars kevin james. it is tracking in the $10 million to $15 million range. the supernatural horror pick starring ethan hawk. now here is a list you don't want to end up on, california's tax boards. celine dionne and steven segal owe the most in unpaid taxes. segal owes nearly $350,000. >>> finally, music talent must run in the family. this is my favorite. according to ancestry.com justin bieber is a distant cousin of ry ry ryan gosling. this dates back to the earliest settlers. i would love to be a part of that. if there's an extra seat at the table. >> i'm lynn berry, this is "first look" on msnbc. be sure to stay
MSNBC
Oct 11, 2012 7:30pm PDT
poll circumstances unlike president obama, who last week declined to mention mitt romney's 47% remarks during the debate, vice president biden went right after it tonight from the beginning and repeatedly. >> but it shouldn't be surprising for a guy who says 47% of the american people are unwilling to take responsibility for their own lives. friend recently said 30% of the american people are takers. these people are my mom and dad, the people i grew up with, my neighbors. they pay more effective tax than governor romney pays in his federal income tax. they are elderly people who are, in fact, living off social security. they're veterans and people fighting in afghanistan right now who are, quote, not paying any taxes. i've had it up to here with with this notion that 47% of -- it's about time they take some responsibility here. instead of signing pledges to grover norquist not to ask the wealthiest among us not to contribute to bring back the middle class, they should be signing a pledge saying to the middle class, we're going to level the playing field. >> that issue of taxe
MSNBC
Oct 12, 2012 6:00am PDT
. 50% said biden won the debate and 31% said ryan. but ryan won a narrow victory in a cnn poll, matchup 48 to 44. it was only going to have a huge impact if ryan cleaned biden's clock and the focus will turn to the top of the ticket. romney watching from his hotel in north carolina. the president watched returning from florida on air force one and made sure to congratulate his number two when he arrived home. >> i thought joe biden was terrif terrific tonight. i could not be more proud. i thought he made a strong case. >> today the campaigning continues. biden is in wisconsin and mitt romney is virginia before heading to ohio to meet up with paul ryan. let's get the reactions from both sides. cheering vice president biden, the happy warrior after his aggressive performance one that republicans are describing as condescending and disrespectful. look how the new york post put it. the contrast wasn't just between biden and ryan but between biden and president obama. the cover, vote for joe, vp shows obama how to debate. inside, smirky biden upstages his boss. with me, former ohio governor
MSNBC
Oct 10, 2012 1:00pm PDT
for mr. romney it's all about the buckeye state where a cnn poll shows him tightening the gap but still down four points to the president following the debate in denver. romney is barrelling through the state. he's just wrapped up a rally outside bun's restaurant with new jersey governor chris christie in tow. earlier in mt. vernon he was busy dusting off the moderate mitt for a campaign blitz. >> we're going to fix our schools by making sure we put our kid and their parents and the teachers first. >> teachers first, right, of course. nobody will remember how you were saying, no more teachers, just a few months ago. >> he says we need more firemen, more policemen, more teachers. didn't he not get the message in wisconsin, the american people did, it's time for us to cut back on goth. >> yes, romney's been limbering up all year for this moment, and the president, too, shaping up. fop that end he's retooled his stump speech to reflect the new-found agility of his challenger. last night in columbus, drawing attention to what the new /old will admit is suddenly sweepi i under the rug.
MSNBC
Oct 8, 2012 8:00am PDT
. that's coming from jen psaki. a zinger there. recent polls show that romney closing the gap. should it be a wake-up call for the president, the campaign that mitt romney thinks that the fight over foreign policy is one he's willing to take on? >> you know, i think we'll have to wait and see what governor romney says before we determine that. foreign policy, there's a lot to say that sounds great in rhetoric and platitudes and hearing plenty of governor romney and really about the approach and the policy and just in the previews i have heard a lot of the rhetoric is a little bit different but the underlying policies are very similar. i mean, the kinds of things i think the governor will recommend sound like things that are already happening and continuously hearing governor talk he doesn't seem to understand or speak to, you know, with china. it is not just currency manipulation and trade to worry about or deal with china on. it's also china involved in what's happening in the middle east. they're involved in other parts of the world so these relationships are very -- they're
MSNBC
Oct 12, 2012 3:00pm PDT
the vote. on top of that, for an all-time high, a couple polls show an all-time high of voters who say it's a certain set of values. that's new. we didn't used to have that. when ryan and romney say, well, this is what i believe in is tho so this is going to be the law, ryan's position that we've talked about before is to the very far extreme of where the republicans are. >> now, does that come across clearly, dana, how extreme their position is? i mean, we're talking about not al debate as you would have a decade ago about pro life, pro choice. we're talking about ultrasound invasions. >> sure. >> we're talking about people redefining rape, legitimate rape, forceable rape. this is some extreme stuff we're talking about. >> reverend, that's also why you saw the pause there. it wasn't just a debate between ohio biden and paul ryan. there's a debate between paul ryan and mitt romney. and you can see him saying, am i answering for romney in 2012 or for paul ryan in 2016 when he hopes to be running for president? he has a very different position. he was like, okay, i'll go with the par
MSNBC
Oct 9, 2012 2:00am PDT
no specifics. >> polls are now split on romney's popularity. pugh has him up four points among likely voters. the positive jobs report gave president obama a five point boost. according to hispanic voters in california, president obama moves to ohio today claiming romney's debate performance was more style than substance. >> what was being presented wasn't leadership. that's salesmanship. governor romney's plan is to let wall street run wild again but he's going to bring the hammer down on sesame street. >> the president has no new ideas. >> both vice-presidential candidates are practicing for thursday's debate. paul ryan is in florida after studying after four days in a woodsy virginia camp. vice president biden is at home in delaware focusing on ryan's speeches and his budget. >>> national hospital is reporting yet another death from the meningitis outbreak. if confirmed, it would be the fifth deadly case in tennessee. that is the ninth nationally. at least 105 people in nine states from minnesota to florida have been affected. the cdc now believes 13,000 people in 23 states may hav
MSNBC
Oct 9, 2012 7:00am PDT
poll. that same poll shows enthusiasm for romney growing along with his likability. >> people wonder why it is i'm so confident we're going to win. i'm confident because i see you here on a day like this. this is unbelievable. >> but that poll coming to a different conclusion than gallup's daily tracking poll to this point, which still has obama in the lead, and the obama campaign is getting a lot of attention with this brand-new ad featuring big bird. >> criminals, glutens of greed and the evil genius who towered over them? one man has the guts to speak his name. >> big bird. big bird. big bird. >> it's me, big bird. >> big, yellow, a menace to our economy. mitt romney knows it's not wall street you have to worry about, it's sesame street. >> i want to bring in anne kornblut, deputy national politics editor for "washington post," and "usa today" politics reporter jackie kucinich. good morning. >> good morning. >> good to see you both. >> good morning. >> anne, let me start with you. there are a number of polls that show nationally a number of different things. what's the big picture
MSNBC
Oct 8, 2012 8:00pm PDT
columnest and author. you. >> you have a lot of heart, ed. >> i have so much heart. there are polls on the table that mitt romney is talking about. i tweeted out tonight, could we actually elect a man who has not explained his tax proposal to the american people when we're sitting supposedly on the edge of this cliff when it comes to the country's finances? e.j., your thoughts? >> i still don't think voters are going to sort of support something like this, not knowing what is in it. i've been wondering why we haven't heard more of romney was for his 5 trillion cut before he was against it. because you look at this plan and it is 5 trillion that the cuts add up to. and you've got to offset them somehow. and the only way to offset them is to go after the popular dededuction. homeowner deduction. or healthcare deductions. that's where the money is. >> sure. >> so it is astonishing to me, i mean, that's where a lot of us wish, the president saying, how do you pay for it? in the primaries, he didn't talk a lot about those offsets. he talked about cutting taxes for everybody. and that's the etch
MSNBC
Oct 10, 2012 2:00am PDT
: warnings of trouble now for president obama, romney's closing the gap. the latest polls, reuters has them tied. gallup has romney up by two. pew has him up by four. and we were talking about the polls in the balgtd ground states. it also now looks like according to other polls that pennsylvania and michigan may no longer be safe bets for the president. lynn. >> all right, thanks. last night on the rachel maddow show, nate silver talks about just how close the candidates are in the polls. >> the whole good month that obama had in september between the convention and the 47% tape, you're now seeing the race as close as it's been all year. i'm a little skeptical that it's actually tied based on the fact that obama still seems to on have a lead in the majority of swing state polls. but romney, who a week or two ago go looked like his campaign might be dead in the water, now is very, very close. maybe the debate was the october surprise, although it wouldn't be the first time that a challenger did really well in the first televised debate. >> every night rachel maddow takes on the biggest
MSNBC
Oct 11, 2012 2:30am PDT
. according to "new york times"/cbs news poll, mitt romney leads the president by one point in colorado. tight across the country. last month the president up one point in that state n virginia, president obama's lead from last month grew slightly. in wisconsin, the candidates also within the margin of error after the president lost the point from last month and mitt romney gained two. again this is all within the margin of error. a day after mitt romney, meanwhile, told the des moines register he would not pursue any abortion related legislation as president, mr. romney looked to clarify that position while campaigning in ohio. there he told reporters he would take action from the white house to reduce the number of abortions in the country. >> i think i said time and again i'm a pro-life candidate. i'll be a pro-life president. the actions i'll take immediately are to remove funding for planned parenthood. >> remove funding for planned parenthood. he said he would ban taxpayer funding for groups that perform abortions overseas. in an interview with abc news, president obama yesterday
MSNBC
Oct 13, 2012 11:00am PDT
prepare for tuesday's critical debate as well. >> hey, peter, according to that latest poll, romney down just a few points there behind president obama in ohio, inching closer by the day. what's different about the romney campaign strategy in the buckeye state right now versus that strategy maybe say two weeks ago? >> reporter: i think it's pretty clear that romney feels much more confident. he feels much more loose as he interacts with voters and delivers his stump speech. it's because of that debate performance about ten days or sore now. when we were on the trail for months, craig, it was very clear that people were here because they did not like president obama. increasingly they're here because they believe mitt romney is the guy that can beat him and lead this country. whether it's strategic or not, that's the biggest take away. stay technologically on the ground they're flooding ohio and other swing states with advertising, spending, restore our future. that's the primary super pac that has been supporting mitt romney from the start. there's some reporting today that they're now s
MSNBC
Oct 9, 2012 9:00am PDT
the polls have romney up by 67 points today. i think hysteria is a good word and i like andrew sullivan as much as the next conservative -- not conservative pundit he claims to be. i do think -- you know, in politics you can never extrap plate from a given point. everything is trend lines one way or the other direction. that was a bad night for the president and anybody who wants him to win. but it's not the last point we're going to see on the graph here. we're going to see, you know, two more debates, we're going to see more speeches, may see oscar the grouch get involved, who knows. but so, you know, plenty of time. if mitt romney, you know, could survive three bad weeks after the 47% video, the president can survive a bad debate performance and after the next one, whatever happened in the first time, won't matter. he may not -- he may do worse, may do better but won't matter anymore after the next two debates. >> also, to your point about graphs there is a an interesting graph in t"the new york times" when incumbents win and when they don't and which way employment is trend
MSNBC
Oct 10, 2012 3:00am PDT
that shows romney up a great bit. now the real news begins, the state by state by state polls. >> four weeks away. can you believe it. >> we have a few to report on this morning. >> the election is coming. the fight for battleground states, less than four weeks until election day in ohio where there are 18 electoral votes up for grabs. a new cnn poll conducted after the debate shows the president leading by four points, 51-47. romney has gained four points there in just over a week. in new hampshire a new wmur granite state poll showses in last nine day he's whittled the 15-point lead down to 6 points. national polls has romney edging ahead of barack obama for the first time this year. the question is, is this what happens naturally, or was this spurred by the debate? >> it doesn't happen naturally. it happens after an earthquake. >> really? >> there was a political earthquake last week, the likes of which i've never seen in american politics, where a shift happened that dramatically in one night. donny, you've seen these things. i had somebody tell me you need seven positive impressio
MSNBC
Oct 12, 2012 8:00pm PDT
are so good for women, especially when you compare them to how bad the romney/ryan positions are. i would really love to see that coming out more in the debates. >> well, we'll see if the polls swing in the gender gap, again, as they had tightened in recent weeks. terry o'neill, thanks for joining us on "the ed show." appreciate it. >>> romney and ryan have twisted themselves into knots over taxes and it showed up again last night big time. david cay johnston will join us to tell us what it's all about. >>> and republicans, they didn't like losing so they cried. not fair! really? karen finney and i will talk about it, next. stay with us. >>> good to have you back with us. thanks for watching "the ed show" tonight. now it's time to do some math. of course, paul ryan flunked the math test last night in front of about 50 million people. >> and you're going to increase the defense -- >> we're just not going to cut the defense budget -- >> you're going to increase it $2 billion. $2 trillion. >> so no massive -- >> no, we're saying -- >> -- defense increases? >> you want to get into defen
MSNBC
Oct 14, 2012 5:00am PDT
never been stronger. ♪ >>> gallup's daily tracking poll puts mitt romney leading president obama 2% right now. gallup is one of dozens of polls published every week. the polls at a dizzying speed are enough to drive a person insane. no one, including myself can seem to look away. republicans question or rather freaked out over several polls released prior to the presidential debate with a sizable lead of president obama over mitt romney. >> that begs the question, are these polls dishonest? >> no. look, we endow them with a false scientific precision. >> these polls, i don't pay attention to them schblgt polling is good at saying how you are going to vote. it's bad how who is going to vote. the models are crazy. >> the two polls are designed to convince everybody the election is over. >> democrats engaged in polling earlier this week questioning the methodology of the poll put romney up four points over barack obama. both parties have a tortured emotional lelationship with polling. why do we continue to listen? more importantly, what are the polls actually telling us? joining us is
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